{"id":41523,"date":"2018-07-30T16:24:26","date_gmt":"2018-07-30T16:24:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/obegef.pt\/wordpress\/?p=41523"},"modified":"2018-07-30T16:24:26","modified_gmt":"2018-07-30T16:24:26","slug":"56-working-paper-2-2-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/obegef.pt\/wordpress\/?p=41523","title":{"rendered":"59# Working Paper"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<table border=\"0\" cellspacing=\"2\" cellpadding=\"2\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\" bgcolor=\"#c0c0c0\" width=\"270\"><a href=\"https:\/\/obegef.pt\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/wp059.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-41526 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/obegef.pt\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/wp059.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"250\" height=\"137\" \/><\/a><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\"><strong>Autores:<\/strong> Jorge Saraiva<br \/>\n<strong>T\u00edtulo: <\/strong>A fraude no futebol: Vicia\u00e7\u00e3o de resultados. O caso Calciocaos.<br \/>\n<strong>Editor:<\/strong>\u00a0Edi\u00e7\u00f5es H\u00famus &amp; OBEGEF<br \/>\n<strong>Data:<\/strong>\u00a02018, Juln.<br \/>\n<strong>P\u00e1ginas:<\/strong> 40<br \/>\n\u00a9: Observat\u00f3rio de Economia e Gest\u00e3o de Fraude<strong><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/strong><strong>Formato ficheiro:<\/strong>\u00a0pdf (portable document format)<br \/>\n<strong>Dimens\u00e3o: <\/strong>1696 kb<br \/>\n<strong>Solicita\u00e7\u00e3o:<\/strong>\u00a0<a href=\"mailto:geral@gestaodefraude.eu?Subject=Sobre%20%20wp027\">Transmita-nos<\/a>\u00a0a sua opini\u00e3o sobre este trabalho<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">(Carregue na imagem para importar o livro)<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><strong>Resumo:<\/strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/obegef.pt\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/01\/pt.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft wp-image-9 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/obegef.pt\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/01\/pt.jpg\" alt=\"texto em portugu\u00eas\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" \/><\/a>O presente artigo pretende analisar os fatores que influenciam a exist\u00eancia de vicia\u00e7\u00e3o de resultados num jogo de futebol. O ponto de partida \u00e9 a contextualiza\u00e7\u00e3o abrangente da fraude desportiva e, mais concretamente, da vicia\u00e7\u00e3o de resultados, em termos te\u00f3ricos. J\u00e1 o aspeto central do artigo \u00e9 o estudo do Caso Calciocaos, quer numa vertente de an\u00e1lise estat\u00edstica, quer numa vertente econom\u00e9trica, onde s\u00e3o estimadas quais as contribui\u00e7\u00f5es \u2013 para a probabilidade de exist\u00eancia de fraude \u2013 de cada uma das vari\u00e1veis consideradas. Por fim, o modelo econom\u00e9trico \u00e9 ainda transformado de forma a possibilitar a sua utiliza\u00e7\u00e3o com diferentes amostras onde se suspeita que existe vicia\u00e7\u00e3o de resultados do tipo arrangement fix perpetrada por \u00e1rbitros.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/obegef.pt\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/01\/en.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11 alignleft\" src=\"http:\/\/obegef.pt\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/01\/en.jpg\" alt=\"Texto em ingl\u00eas\" width=\"25\" height=\"25\" \/><\/a>The following article intends to analyse the factors that drive the presence of match fixing in football matches. The starting point is a wide theoretical framework of sports\u2019 fraud and, more precisely, of match fixing. The main matter of the article is the study of the Calciocaos Case both in statiscal and econometrical analysis. The econometric model estimates the contributions, for the probability of fraud\u2019s existence, of each one of the considered variables. Lastly, the econometric model is then transformed in order to enable its\u2019 use with different samples given suspicions of arrangement fixes made by referees.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a9 Direitos de autor<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>\u00c9 permitida<\/strong>\u00a0a importa\u00e7\u00e3o gratuita.<\/em><br \/>\n<strong>\u00c9 permitida<\/strong>\u00a0a c\u00f3pia de partes deste documento, sem qualquer modifica\u00e7\u00e3o, para utiliza\u00e7\u00e3o individual. A reprodu\u00e7\u00e3o de partes do seu conte\u00fado \u00e9 permitida exclusivamente em documentos cient\u00edficos, com indica\u00e7\u00e3o expressa da fonte.<br \/>\n<strong>N\u00e3o \u00e9 permitida<\/strong>\u00a0qualquer utiliza\u00e7\u00e3o comercial. N\u00e3o \u00e9 permitida a sua disponibiliza\u00e7\u00e3o atrav\u00e9s de rede electr\u00f3nica ou qualquer forma de partilha electr\u00f3nica.<br \/>\n<strong>Em caso de d\u00favida<\/strong>\u00a0ou pedido de autoriza\u00e7\u00e3o, contactar directamente o OBEGEF.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; Autores: Jorge Saraiva T\u00edtulo: A fraude no futebol: Vicia\u00e7\u00e3o de resultados. O caso Calciocaos. Editor:\u00a0Edi\u00e7\u00f5es H\u00famus &amp; OBEGEF Data:\u00a02018, Juln. P\u00e1ginas: 40 \u00a9: Observat\u00f3rio de Economia e Gest\u00e3o de Fraude Formato ficheiro:\u00a0pdf (portable document format) Dimens\u00e3o: 1696 kb Solicita\u00e7\u00e3o:\u00a0Transmita-nos\u00a0a sua opini\u00e3o sobre este trabalho (Carregue na imagem para importar o livro)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41523","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-working-papers-publicacoes"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/obegef.pt\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41523","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/obegef.pt\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/obegef.pt\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/obegef.pt\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/obegef.pt\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=41523"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/obegef.pt\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41523\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":41529,"href":"https:\/\/obegef.pt\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41523\/revisions\/41529"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/obegef.pt\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=41523"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/obegef.pt\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=41523"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/obegef.pt\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=41523"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}